What Jerusalem's air looks like when it stops driving
A natural-experiment analysis of 12 months of hourly Jerusalem air-quality data, relabelled against exact halachic windows and benchmarked against London and New York. Findings, methods, and caveats.
A few Hebrew fonts worth knowing about
A short tour of Hebrew fonts you can install today from Google Fonts — the workhorses, the formal ones, the handwriting, the deliberately weird, and the Rashi script.
A small Hebrew date widget for KDE Plasma
I wanted the Hebrew date sitting quietly in my system tray next to the English one. KDE didn't have a widget that did this, so I built one — sunset-aware, configurable, and small enough to live between the clock and the notification icons.
Voxcast: a small voice-to-text app for when "send the email already" is the bottleneck
An open-source Android app that takes your voice and reshapes it into clean prose, polite emails, AI prompts, or Hebrew messages. Two presets are Hebrew-specific — useful for olim and anyone whose Hebrew register is a daily second-guess.
Five Frontier Models Walk Into a Forecasting Council
I stripped the heavy actor-simulation out of my geopolitical forecasting pipeline and ran five lineage-diverse LLMs as a council on Iran-Israel-US. The consensus was interesting. The disagreement was more interesting.
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The Loaded Spring: What an AI Geopolitical Simulation Reveals About Iran-Israel Escalation
A geopolitical forecasting simulation reveals why the Pakistan-brokered ceasefire is a loaded spring, with a 70-80% probability of collapse within 7-10 days and structured drift toward limited regional war.
Inside the Simulation: How Geopol Forecaster’s Actors Think
A deep dive into the simulation architecture behind Geopol Forecaster — the 40+ actor personas, the sealed-off reasoning model, world state persistence, and the six analytical lenses that critique each other blind.
AI Forecast: Forced Regime Change in Iran at 4-9% Within a Year
The Geopol Forecaster pipeline assessed the probability of forced regime change in Iran — IRGC removal, non-autocratic replacement, and formal Israel recognition — at less than 1% within a week, 1-3% within a month, and 4-9% within a year.
AI Forecasting the Iran-Israel Ceasefire: A 4% Chance of Holding
Running the Geopol Forecaster pipeline on the April 2026 Iran-Israel-US ceasefire produced a stark verdict: 55% at 24 hours, 22% at 72 hours, and just 4% at one month.
Geopol Forecaster: An Open-Source AI Geopolitical Prediction Pipeline
Introducing an open-source two-stage geopolitical forecasting pipeline that combines actor simulation with multi-lens analytical deliberation — built on tools the intelligence community is already experimenting with.