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regime change
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AI Forecast: Forced Regime Change in Iran at 4-9% Within a Year
The Geopol Forecaster pipeline assessed the probability of forced regime change in Iran — IRGC removal, non-autocratic replacement, and formal Israel recognition — at less than 1% within a week, 1-3% within a month, and 4-9% within a year.
AI geopolitics Iran
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